I'm on the Mavericks -3.5 @ home in game 7 vs the Thunder, for these reasons:

- Luka has found his rhythm. He finally had his way in game 5 at OKC, setting his team up for a finishing ending in Dallas which I think will be very important to Dallas to end the series now and avoid going back to OKC for a game 7 Monday.

- PJ Washington has played spectacular this series but only scored 10 points in game 5. I expect him to shoot better at home, and his efforts have greatly impacted the overall play of everyone around him on the Mavs.

- Thunder are 1-3 in the last 4 meeting, barely winning the last time the Mavs played them in Dallas, and Dallas were up a monstrous amount before the Thunder made a miraculous comeback. I don't see the Thunder getting that lucky again.

- Thunder are 1-3 ATS in the last 4 games.

- Supporting cast to SGA and the Thunder are not showing up. Chet Holmgren needs to do better to help Shai if they want to win, but the defense the Mavs have shown on Chet and Jaylen Williams, has put Shai in a "One man Show", while Mavs teamwork are greatly improving the last 3 games, showing that they can work together to put OKC in a bind by limiting them to only Shai to impact the game.

Official Play: Mavs -3.5

Side Bet: Luka over 28.5 points

Hail Mary: Over 208.50