The Reds are coming into this game with a 45-42 record this season and they have not been playing in many low scoring games recently. They are coming off of a higher scoring series against the Red Sox which they won, but now they are facing one of the better teams in the NL and their offense is going to struggle more. They are going up against a Phillies team that is 51-36 this season and they have been playing in some low scoring games recently. They have seen 7 runs total or less in 4 of their last 5 games and their offense has not been great in these as they are averaging around 3 runs scored per game in their last 5, but their pitching has been great as they have allowed 1 run or less in 3 of their last 4 games. They are going to get some more good pitching in this game as Jesús Luzardo is starting for the Phillies and he is 7-4 with a 4.06 ERA this season. He has been very good in his recent starts as he has only allowed 2 earned runs total in his last 2 starts and has allowed 2 earned runs or less in 3 of his last 4 starts. He has also been much better at home this year as he has allowed 2 earned runs or less in each of his last 2 as well as 5 of his last 6 home starts, and he is going to go at least 5 innings for them as well. He has also been great in his 2 career starts against the Reds as he is 1-1 with a 1.64 ERA. Andrew Abbott is starting for the Reds in this game and he is 7-1 with a 1.79 ERA this season. He has been on fire this season as he has allowed 1 earned run or less in each of his last 4 as well as 9 of his last 10 starts. He has also been very good on the road this year as he has allowed just 1 earned run total in his last 4 road starts, and he has pitched at least 7 innings in his last 3 road starts as well. He has also been great in his 2 career starts against the Phillies as he is 0-0 with a 2.79 ERA, and he is going to pitch deep into this game taking some stress off of the bullpen. This is going to be a low scoring game that stays under the total.