Betting Trends: The under is 31-19 (62%) in Todd Bowles-coached teams' road games. The under has also been profitable in games coached by Dan Campbell (67%) and those Jared Goff played in (65%) when the total was 51 points or higher.

This total feels like an overreaction to the Bucs' week one performance against a weak Washington secondary. The Lions' defense should prove much more formidable on their home turf. I feel confident Detroit will bleed game clock, keeping the ball out of Mayfield's hands and attacking the Bucs on the ground, using long drives to its advantage.

These teams played to a 20-6 result in the regular season last year with the Lions using that game plan to win. I am fading the narrative about these offenses scoring at will on Sunday.