I'll gladly lay the points with Texas. The Longhorns need CFP style points and should destroy a Razorbacks defense that's awful in coverage per PFF, 119th in explosive passing plays allowed and among the worst in the country in creating a contested catch (123rd nationally, per Sports Info Solutions). Jaxon Dart and Ole Miss hung 63 points on the Hogs a couple of weeks ago and now it's Quinn Ewers and Texas' turn.

On top of that, the Razorbacks' offense is turnover-prone with QB Taylen Green, who returns from injury this week to face a Longhorns defense that will create constant pressure (top-50 in sacks and tackles for loss). Texas ranks 14th nationally in Defensive Havoc, while the Arkansas offense is 114th in Havoc Allowed and has struggled in pass blocking.