Spanish La Liga: #201909/201910 ASA TOP PLAY ON Over 3.5 Goals (+120) – Atletico Madrid vs Real Valladolid, Monday at 3 ET - Atletico Madrid is relishing this opportunity for big success at home. Of course that is why they are a massive favorite here and are favored by 2.5 goals on the goal line. Real Valladolid is having a disastrous season and has allowed 44 goals in their 15 games on the road this season! In their last two meetings with Atletico Madrid they have allowed 5 goals in each one! Overall allowing an average of 4.3 goals in the last 3 meetings! Real Valladolid has scored 3 goals in the last 4 meetings so they could get on the board here but they simply will not be able to slow down a determined Atletico Madrid side. The key to that determination and corresponding relentless attacking is the fact that their last two matches at Riyadh Air Metropolitano in Madrid were both against a very strong Barcelona team and Atletico lost both of those! This ensures proper focus from the home side here and also strengthens the likelihood they will keep pushing for more and more goals as the match goes on. Just like the last two meetings (5-0 and 5-2 wins), we would not be surprised to see Atletico Madrid have another breakout game in the offensive end! Our computer math model shows the highest probability being a match totaling 4 to 5 goals here and we will take the over in this one.