The Braves are playing better than expected. The Giants are playing worse than expected. Yet the Giants still have as many victories as the Braves.

I'm looking for the Braves to regress to the norm especially without injured Freddie Freeman, their most productive player, and for the Giants to make a move now that they have returned home.

As bad as they've been, the Giants still have a winning mark at AT&T Park.

Outfielder Denard Span is back for San Francisco. That's huge and somewhat below-the-radar.

The Giants are 17-8 the past 25 times at home when going against a lefty starter. They face southpaw Jaime Garcia today. Garcia hasn't pitched well on the road allowing 19 earned runs in 34 1/3 innings for an away ERA of nearly 5.00.

Atlanta has dropped nine of its last 13 games at AT&T. The Braves take on Matt Cain here. I wouldn't touch Cain away from spacious AT&T, but he's been dynamic at home going 3-0 with a 1.19 ERA in four starts. Cain is past his prime, but he's a savvy veteran who knows how to pitch well in this park.