PREMIUM
Stephen Nover's Monday Totals Crusher
(MLB) Detroit vs. Kansas City,
Total: 10.00 | -105.00 Over
Result: Loss
Total: 10.00 | -105.00 Over
Result: Loss
The Tigers are average offensively. The Royals are well below average offensively - ranking 26th in runs - but are the top fielding team in the American League.
The total has been bet up. I'm not buying into that especially with Jason Vargas pitching for the Royals. He has the best home ERA in the AL at 1.84. The under has cashed in 10 of his last 13 starts at Kauffman Stadium.
The more difficult part of this Under equation is Tigers starter Jordan Zimmermann. He's not in good form with a .9.95 ERA in his last three starts. Zimmermann, though, is a better pitcher than that and he has great career numbers against the Royals with a 1.44 ERA in four career starts versus them. That ERA shrinks even more to 1.04 if you go back just to last season.
The total has been bet up. I'm not buying into that especially with Jason Vargas pitching for the Royals. He has the best home ERA in the AL at 1.84. The under has cashed in 10 of his last 13 starts at Kauffman Stadium.
The more difficult part of this Under equation is Tigers starter Jordan Zimmermann. He's not in good form with a .9.95 ERA in his last three starts. Zimmermann, though, is a better pitcher than that and he has great career numbers against the Royals with a 1.44 ERA in four career starts versus them. That ERA shrinks even more to 1.04 if you go back just to last season.
