The defending champion Redblacks are 0-3-1. But that record is deceiving. They've played tough competition and their three defeats have come by a combined seven points. Ottawa could be unbeaten instead of winless with a few breaks.

Ottawa led Toronto by 11 points two weeks ago. The Redblacks built a 9-0 lead versus Edmonton on the road last week. The Redblacks aren't going to let offensively-challenged Montreal off the floor if they go out in front as anticipated.

Both teams played this past Friday. Montreal, however, has to travel on the short week. The Alouettes are off a huge home upset victory against Calgary. They don't have much time to refocus. They also are 3-7 ATS following a victory.

Ottawa has the better offense and enough defense to take advantage of the Alouettes' weak offense, the worst in the CFL.

Montreal averaged only 17.3 points during its first three games, scoring just four touchdowns. The Alouettes put up 30 points on Calgary in Week 4 this past Friday, but their offense produced just three touchdowns. So I'm not convinced their offensive struggles have ended.

Ottawa has covered in six of its past seven games against Montreal.