Jose Berrios was once good. Then he got bad. Now he's good again especially when he's pitching in Toronto where he's 4-1 with a 2.48 ERA this season. The Blue Jays have won 87.5 percent of Berrios' home starts since 2021 going 21-3. 

I like Berrios and Toronto to beat the reeling Red Sox. 

Boston has stopped hitting. The Red Sox have managed only 11 runs in their last seven games. They are 1-7 during their last eight games, including losing their past five. Along with lack of hitting, the Red Sox may have the worst middle infield fielding in baseball. 

The Blue Jays draw fragile lefty James Paxton. Toronto ranks in the top 10 against southpaws in batting average and OBP. Paxton has a 4.10 road ERA compared to 1.69 at home. 

(Editor's note: Stephen Nover is 26-13 on his last 39 premium/free baseball plays. He has three premium MLB plays today in addition to this free selection headed by his Game of the Month and Bookie Basher looking to go 11-1 on his last dozen Bookie Basher plays.)