Stephen Nover's Vikings-Packers Big Ticket
(NFL) Minnesota vs. Green Bay,
Point Spread: -3.00 | -110.00 Green Bay (Home)
Result: Win
Green Bay is in must-win mode and playing its best ball, winners of three in a row.

I'm not fooled by the Vikings' 12-3 record. They have only outscored their opponents by five points and have a losing point spread mark.

The Vikings give up the second-most yards in the NFL and rank last in pass defense.

I trust Aaron Rodgers to get this home victory. He'll have both his starting offensive tackles, star left tackle David Bakhtiari and right tackle Yosh Nijman. So Rodgers should have time to throw.

The same can't be said for Kirk Cousins. He's been sacked 11 times during the last two games.

The Packers have been the fourth-best team in the NFL during the last five weeks behind only the 49ers, Bills and Eagles going by the metric Defense-adjusted Value Over Average, which measures efficiency.