Money Line: -137.00 Minnesota (Home)
Minnesota is the pick here with the more reliable starting pitcher on the mound. Heaney just can't seem to consistently and his talent and is putting up one of the worst seasons of his career, while the Minnesota offense is capable enough to take advantage.
While pitching has been Minnesota's weakness all season, Maeda is starting to look a little more like himself of late with a 2.78 FIP and 40 strikeouts in 30 innings since coming off the IL in mid-June.
Heaney has an 8.49 ERA across his last five starts, and has really struggled to suppress the long ball this season even if some of the other predictive metrics are promising. It's impossible to trust Heaney given his current form, and Maeda looking better recently is good news for the Twins here.
Back the Twinkies.