10* ALDS BEST OF BEST - 70% IN OCTOBER!
(MLB) Minnesota vs. Houston,
Money Line: -132.00 Houston (Home)
Result: Loss
10* Astros (BEST OF BEST)

We had a play on the Astros 6-4 series-opening win last night, and we think the home side can now smell the blood in the water. As predicted, Minnesota suffered a letdown on the road after their win over the Jays to snap a super long playoff slide. Minnesota is just terrible on the road, now 40-42 away from friendly confines this year. Houston struggled at home uncharacteristically this year, and enters are 40-42. But that said, now that the playoffs are finally here, we just can't understate how important we feel the home-field advantage will play here. Pablo Lopez (11-8, 3.66 ERA) gets the call here for the Twins and while he had a decent year, and a good showing against the Jays in the Wildcard, regression seems imminent here in our opinion in this difficult road venue. He'll be opposed by Framber Valdez (12-11, 3.45), who is 7-2 with a 3.41 ERA in 13 career postseason starts. He's also 3-1 with a 2.37 ERA in seven career appearances vs. Minnesota. Overall we feel we're getting a great price here on Houston at home with the superior starter on the hill; lay the price, the play is indeed on the Astros!

AAA Sports