10* OVER Denver/Indianapolis (NFLX TOY)

It's a big year for both Denver coach Sean Payton and Indianapolis coach Shane Steichen, each who enters their second year with their current team. Denver will be starting Jarrett Stidham in this one, with Bo Nix getting the majority of time under center next week vs. the Packers. Stidhan went 1-1 as a starter last year for the Broncos and his experience and competitiveness is part of the reason why I really like the OVER here, as I expect him to get plenty of production vs. Indianapolis second-stringers on defense. And outside of the QB's, the starting offense is expected to see 15 to 18 plays. The Colts already know who their QB is with Anthony Richardson. He'll only see a series or two before making way for his super capable backups in Joe Flacco and Sam Ehlinger. The backup QB's for both sides are hungry and have big chips on their shoulders and will be able to expose these sup-par defenses; this number is low, the play is indeed on the "over!"

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