10* Oilers (ASSASSIN)

With their backs agains the wall, we like the Oilers to push this series to AT LEAST a Game 5 back in Florida. Note that Edmonton is 7-3 in its last ten in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Florida is clearly in the driver's seat, but we're expecting a classic mental letdown here, similar to what we saw the Celtics have last night in Dallas. Florida will have a chance to earn the cup in front of their fans in Game 5, because here in Game 4 the value for sure lies in the desperate Oilers, who will be risking life and limb to avoid the sweep; lay the short price, the play is Edmonton!

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