Play: Cleveland Indians -1.5
Rating: 8*

The Cleveland Indians had won six straight prior to losing back-to-back games here against the Houston Astros. They did however get back to their winning ways with a 6-5 win yesterday, and this looks like a good spot to back the Tribe on the runline.

Trevor Bauer (10-6, 3.70 ERA) takes the ball for Cleveland. He's 4-0 behind a 0.67 ERA versus the Astros and he held them scoreless through seven innings earlier this season. Bauer is red hot going 3-1 with a 2.61 ERA over his last six starts.

The Astros turn to David Paulino who will make his first start in the big leagues. He's been decent in the minors, but here he'll come up against a Cleveland team that averages 5.68 runs per game home at Progressive Field and has the fifth best betting average in baseball overall. Houston will also need more than a few frames from the 22 year old as the bullpen has seen a lot of action in recent games.

The Indians have won 12 of the last 16 meetings in Cleveland, and I think they'll win this game by more than just one run.