The Toronto Maple Leafs have won 11 of their past 13 games overall and seven straight at home, but I think they're way overrated by the oddsmakers when they host the New York Islanders Thursday night.

The Isles had shut out both the Rangers and the Hurricanes before taking a 5-3 home loss against Minnesota their last time out. Toronto was outshout 40-31 in its 1-0 win against Florida its last time out and we can note that Islanders netminder Jaroslav Halak owns an 8-3-3 career mark versus the Leafs.

My selection is an 8* play on NY Islanders +1.5.