(NCAAF) Oregon State vs. Boise State, 12/24/2013 3:00 PM, Score: 38 - 23
Point Spread: 4.00 | -110.00 Boise State (Home)
Result: Loss
On Christmas eve its the Hawaii Bowl and the Side play is on Boise St. Game 211 at 8:0 eastern. This game fits a solid system we use the plays against Bowl favorites prior to New Years Day that won 8 or less games last season and average less than 122 yards rushing, vs an opponent like Boise that averages 140+ yards on the ground. Boise can run the ball and has a balanced offense. They have won 5 of the last 6 vs PAC 12 Teams and are 27-4 on Turf and are 8-0 off a bye week. Hawaii Bowl favorites have lost 3 of the last 4 and Oregon St has their hearts ripped out in the Civil war blowing a big lead to Oregon and losing 36-35 for their 5th straight loss. The Beavers are 4-13 straight up vs winning teams losing 5 of the last 6 and 0-4 off a conference loss. In their last 5 vs Mountain West teams they have failed to cover 4 of 5. We will take the points with Boise St.

The Bonus total in this game is on the over as we note that this game fits an early bowl season system that pertains to the over when we have both teams that average 400+ yards on offense and allow 400+ on defense, And Bowl totals of 63 or more in early Bowl games has ben money the past few years. Boise has played over in 4 of 5 neutral field games and Oregon St 4 of 5 vs non conference teams and 8 of 9 when the total is +3 to -3. Look for this one to play over the total