Point Spread: 1.50 | 125.00 Cincinnati (Home)
I'm expecting a much tighter game here in the finale of this 3-game series. The Reds have lost 6 straight. Note that they're 7-2 in their last 9 in trying to revenge 2 or more straight losses against an opponent. They've lost the first 2 games by score of 8-2 and 8-4. The Dodgers have won 3 of their last 4, but with a date at Atlanta tomorrow, they could get caught looking ahead here. That's in fact what I'm banking on happening here, despite Clayton Kershaw on the hill. Kershaw is 4-1 with a 2.08 ERA, while Hunter Greene is 3-7 with a 5.26 ERA. In his 2nd MLB start, Greene faced the Dodgers and was decent, allowing three runs over 6 innings. Look for the complacent Dodgers to get caught looking ahead to their game at Atlanta, and for the desperate Reds to, at the very least, keep this one close enough for the comfortable ATS cover; the play is Cincinnati on the runline!