Louisiana Lafayette is 0-5 ATS the past five times it has been favored. I don't see that changing in this matchup. Alabama-Birmingham has the better rushing attack with Spencer Brown, the superior defense and is home. 
UAB has covered 72 percent of its past 26 home games. 
The Ragin' Cajuns have an up-tempo attack. They play fast and can run the ball well, too. But I like the Blazers ability to ball-control and win the time of possession battle pounding away with Brown. 
The Blazers have rushed for more than 200 yards in three of their five games, while going 4-1. Brown has rushed for 472 yards with six TD's. UAB's offensive line, which has four returning starters, has permitted only three sacks. Lafayette surrendered 212 rushing yards in a 30-27 upset loss to Coastal Carolina in its last game.