Stephen Nover Free CFB Saturday Play
(NCAAF) Texas A&M vs. Missouri, 10/16/2021 12:00 PM, Score: 35 - 14
Point Spread: 11.50 | -110.00 Missouri (Home)
Result: Loss
Texas A&M is the toast of college football after ending Alabama's 19-game win streak last week. The Aggies were the first unranked team to knock off the Crimson Tide in 100 games.

One of the rewards of accomplishing that is the Aggies are now in the Top 25, ranked 21st. Heady stuff. Certainly I don't want to deflect from the Aggies' great victory - the most impressive of the season - but I don't think they are the 21st-best team in the nation.

Before upsetting Alabama, the Aggies had lost to Mississippi State and Arkansas, combining to average just 16 points versus those two SEC foes.

Texas A&M QB Zach Calzada threw for a combined 286 passing yards versus the Bulldogs and Razorbacks. He had a career-best 285 passing yards and three TD throws against the Crimson Tide. That may have been Calzada's game of his life as on the season he's completed 56.6 percent with an 8-to-5 touchdown-to-interception ratio.

I get that Missouri has the worst defense in the SEC. The Tigers yield an average of 37.5 points and 497.7 yards a game, although some of those numbers are skewed from a terrible 62-24 loss to Tennessee.

Texas A&M does not have a dynamic offense. It's actually below average. The Aggies rank 84th in scoring at 26.3 and 85th in total yards at 377.

Sparked by star running back Tyler Badie, Missouri averages 37.8 points and 467 yards. Badie has combined for 899 rushing/receiving yards and has scored 12 TD's, second-most in the country.

The combination of Texas A&M being overrated, in a monster letdown situation and not having nearly the offense Missouri has, puts me on the Tigers as a double-digit home 'dog.