This is a 10* play on the Indianapolis Colts.

The Colts are on a roll, winners of four in a row. They host the Bengals this Sunday, and Cincy is trending in the other direction. They opened the season 4-0, but have since dropped back to back games to New England and Carolina.

This Bengals team doesn't play well on the road at the best of times, but with Andy Dalton missing two of his top receivers (A.J. Green and Marvin Jones). It's likely to be tough sledding against this Colts defense, that has been far better than anyone expected.

Indianapolis is particularly tough on 3rd down, ranking first in the NFL in opponents conversion rate, completion percentage, QBR etc. They have three INTs and seven sacks on opposing quarterbacks in their last two home games.

The Colts have covered the spread in five straight home games versus teams with a winning record, while Cincy is 1-4 ATS in it's last five road games versus winning teams. All the signs point toward a big win for the home team here in this one.

Take INDY.

GL,

Jesse Schule