New Orleans vs. Detroit NFL Free Pick
(NFL) New Orleans vs. Detroit, 10/19/2014 9:00 AM, Score: 23 - 24
Total: 47.50 | -110.00 Over
Result: Win
This is a Free #NFL play on NO@DET to go UNDER the total.

With both Jimmy Graham and Calvin Johnson likely to miss this week's game, those injuries sort of cancel each other out. The Lions though haven't been relying on their offense to win football games, but their defense that ranks #1 against the pass and #2 against the run.

The Saints defense has been well below average all year, and Detroit still has a well balanced attack, even without Megatron. Joique Bell has been a beast in the backfield, and he ran for 74 yards and a TD on 18 carries last week. He'll be splitting snaps with Reggie Bush, who will also pose a threat in the passing game. If the Lions can have success with their running game, this burns more time off the clock, and keeps the ball out of the hands of Drew Brees - good news for under bettors.

The Lions kicking game has been brutal, and that didn't change last week with Matt Prater, as the former Bronco missed 2-of-3 FG attempts.

The Saints are a much stronger team at home, and the offense in particular tends to struggle on the road. Drew Brees threw 39 TD passes last year, but only 12 of those came on the road.

Detroit has seen the total go under in each of it's last five games, and I expect another low scoring tilt here Sunday.

Take UNDER.

GL,

Jesse Schule