Point Spread: -1.50 | -111.00 Milwaukee (Away)
At 7-3 in their last 10, and now well ahead in the NL Central, the Brewers are in a good place. Eric Lauer is starting on Sunday and he has been in a good place as well. He is 2-1 with an ERA of 2.06 in his last 7 outings and has only allowed 1 run over 14 innings in his last pair of starts.
His mound opponent, Aaron Civale is back with his 2nd start after a lengthy absence on the DL. He was very sharp before injury and was effective in his first start back. Don’t look for a long outing from him at this point.
Lauer’s ability to pitch late into the game is important as the Brewer’s bullpen is an eye-popping 7.77 in their last 7 starts. This figure is somewhat skewed by two terrible efforts; most of their last games have been acceptable. The Indians’ usually stingy bullpen has been worse than usual, at 4.50 ERA.
The Brewers have not put themselves well into first place with their run production. They are middle of the pack usually, and slightly better in the last two weeks. The Indians, also relatively light hitting, have the worst offense in the league of late. The Brewers are a very dominant road and road underdog team, and solid vs right-handers. The Indians are only 4-13 as a home underdog. Civale should pitch well on Sunday but his innings will likely be limited. I like Milwaukee’s chances and considering Cleveland’s struggling offense, I think it is safe to give the extra runs. Take the Brewers -1.5.