(NFL) Dallas vs. San Francisco, 01/22/2023 6:30 PM, Score: 12 - 19
Point Spread: 4.00 | -110.00 Dallas (Away)
Result: Loss
Two very fine teams, both off huge wild card victories, meet up on Sunday. We are looking at the 4th and 5th best offenses, and the 5th and 6th best defenses, so there is no obvious advantage. That said, each defense has weak point. For Dallas, it is the run game; 21st rated though improving lately. The 49ers' soft spot is their pass defense. They are 20th in pass yards allowed and 22 in completion rate.
Prescott pulled apart the Bucs' very good pass defense last week, and looked exceptionally sharp. Vs the Commanders the week before, it was the combination of Washington's top pass defense and the Commanders' ability to exploit Dallas's poorer run defense that led to the Commanders' success.

The Cowboys can run the ball but it will be tough to move vs the 49ers' elite run defense, however Prescott should be able to continue his fine passing play against the weaker 49ers' pass defense. The 49ers can and will run the ball vs Dallas, but the bulk of their points are coming via the pass. Purdy will face a very tough and active Cowboys' pass defense, the best he has faced yet. Although he hasn't played like it, Purdy is still a rookie with limited experience in a very very big game. While it will likely be a very close game, I am going with the more experienced passer today. Take the Cowboys with the points, now more than a field goal.