Rickenbach MLB Rotation #953 Friday 8* OVER the total in Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves @ 7:05 ET - With yesterday's game going over the total, the over is now 6-2 in Braves last 8 games and 11-3-1 in Phillies last 15 games. Max Fried has a 6.43 ERA on the road this season. In Fried's 6 career starts against the Phillies, the O/U is 5-1. He has an 8.10 ERA in his last 2 road starts. The Phillies start Zack Wheeler and he has great long-term numbers but enters this start having allowed at least 4 earned runs in each of his last two starts. Also, the over is 2-0 in his last two starts and 3-0 in Fried's last 3 starts. Neither team has a strong bullpen. In fact, both teams pens have been a concern this season. Considering all of the above factors, this total being in the 7.5 range is offering excellent value on the over the way I expect this one to play out. 8* OVER the total in Philadelphia