The Pats defense has been excellent in recent weeks, with 6, 7, and 0 points allowed through their last three games. They now own the best scoring defense in the NFL with only 16.1 points allowed per game.

Under is 5-1 in Patriots last 6 games in November, and here they'll host a dinged up Tennessee team that will be without its biggest threat in injured running back Derrick Henry. The Titans are averaging only 253.3 passing yards per game and they put up only 13 points in a home loss to Houston last week.

I do however think that the Titans can keep it close as the Pats offense could come out flat following three straight blowout wins. Road favorites of more than a field goal are only 5-10 ATS as following three straight wins by at least 15 points dating back to the start of the 2015 season.

8* play on Tennessee titans.