10* Over Padres/Rockies (8:10 ET): San Diego is living up to hype having started 6-2. They came from behind to take last night’s opener in Colorado, 8-7, thanks to a pair of home runs in the top of the ninth. The Padres lead the league in runs scored (52) and while they’re tied for most games played (8), their runs per game average (6.5) also is a MLB-best. Playing in Coors Field doesn’t figure to slow them down any and so Saturday’s matchup is one which I feel is likely to go Over the total.

The Rockies came into this series on a four-game win streak. They’d allowed just nine runs total in the first five games, but all of those were played on the road. The total number of runs allowed this season nearly doubled with the first game at Coors and that really should not come as a shock seeing as they allow the most runs per game at home almost every season (6.7 in ‘19). Of course, they also averaged more than 6.0 rpg at home LY as well and offense wasn’t the problem last night as they had 14 hits, two of which were HR’s.

Joey Luccheshi didn’t pitch all that great for the Padres in his first outing. He lasted just 3 ⅔ innings and gave up two runs on five hits. The Padres still won 6-2 as they’ve scored five runs in every game but one so far. Having struggled the third time through the order last week, I don’t expect Lucchesi to last long tonight. For Colorado, Kyle Freeland went 3-11 with a 6.42 ERA in 2019. His first start this year was a win, but that was on the road. 10* Over Padres/Rockies