*VERY EARLY* POWER-HOUR TOTAL ~ 2-0 TUESDAY!
(MLB) NY Mets vs. Cincinnati, 07/21/2021 12:35 PM, Score: 7 - 0
Total: 10.50 | -115.00 Over
Result: Loss
8* Over Mets/Reds (12:35 ET): Yesterday was the first time since the All-Star Break that Cincinnati won. They did so by beating the Mets 4-3. That was definitely a departure from the previous four games in which they were outscored 41-21. They got a strong effort from starter Wade Miley, who gave up just one run in 6 ⅓ innings. But Miley obviously won’t be pitching against today. Instead, the Reds will send Jeff Hoffman to the mound. Eight of his nine starts have gone Over and he has a 2.033 WHIP in the L3.

The Mets had scored 29 runs in the three games previous to last night’s loss, including a 15-11 win here in the series opener. The Mets’ record since the Break is just 2-3 as they dropped two of three in Pittsburgh and have split two games here. This is far from the National League’s best offensive team, but they should get to Hoffman, who has control issues and often doesn’t last very long. The Reds’ bullpen is also very bad, especially at home where its ERA is 6.09 and blown half its save opportunities.

Totals in this series have been high as they should be. Reds’ games, on average, are among the highest scoring in the league. They average 5.5 rpg themselves while also giving up 5.6. Mets’ games aren’t typically that high scoring, but it’s notable the number of runs per game they allow on the road jumps up to 5.0. Wednesday starter Marcus Stroman hasn’t lasted longer than five innings in any of his last five starts. The Mets’ bullpen, similar to Cincinnati’s, isn’t very good. They have a 5.04 ERA on the road. You saw the 15-11 score from Monday and while this game may not be nearly as high-scoring, it will go Over. 8* Over Mets/Reds