10* Over Marlins/Nationals (7:05 ET): This series has gone poorly for the last place Marlins. They lost 18-1 on Monday. Things weren’t nearly as rough last night, but they still lost 6-3. The Fish are now 15 games below .500 (40-55), though they have a reasonable YTD run differential (-4). They are 5.5 games back of the Nats, who have now won three in a row after suffering through a six-game losing streak that straddled the All-Star Break. The Over is 10-2 their last 12 games, including 5-0 the L5 and this one should go Over as well.

The pitching matchup looks pretty dreadful here. Starting for Miami will be Jordan Holloway. He’s made only three starts, but they haven’t gone well nor have they lasted very long. Holloway has gone a total of 9 ⅔ innings in those three starts and has allowed 11 runs. Starting here for Washington will be Erick Fedde. He’s been beat up pretty good in three of his last four starts. The most recent was the worst of the bunch as Fedde was charged with six runs after going just 1 ⅓ IP.

That last Fedde start was the infamous 24-8 loss to San Diego. Earlier, I mentioned the six-game losing streak for the Nats. There were three times during that streak that they allowed 10+ runs. Now they’ve scored 32 of their own in the L3 games. Miami hasn’t done much scoring at all during a current five-game losing streak, but is probably “due” here. Holloway is only starting because Sandy Alcantara was placed on the bereavement list. The respective offenses should rule the day here. 10* Over Marlins/Nationals