Point Spread: 7.50 | -105.00 Kansas State (Home)
A major area of concern right now for Arkansas is that they are one of the worst teams in the country at defending the three-point line. They let Northern Iowa sink 17 of 37 attempts, so the first three opponents are hitting 43.4% from behind the arc. Kansas State happens to be shooting a very similar percentage from three-point range as the Wildcats are 2-0, having beaten Florida A&M and Nebraska-Omaha. Despite winning those games by a combined 25 points, KSU is 0-2 ATS. But here, we obviously don’t need to worry about laying points.
Though this is technically a neutral site game in Kansas City, part of the Hall of Fame Classic, I think there’s a bit of an edge towards Kansas State in terms of the venue. There is also a lot of turnover on the Arkansas roster compared to last season. I don’t think they can count on Miami FL transfer Chris Lykes scoring 26 points (a career-high) again, like he did vs. Northern Iowa. Kansas State is 5-2 ATS its last seven games as a neutral site underdog. 10* Kansas State