Point Spread: -15.50 | -111.00 Arizona (Home)
Now Arizona has failed to cover each of its last four games. But three of those saw them favored by more than 24 points. Those three games saw them win by double digits each time, every win coming by 16 pts or greater. Mixed in was a four-point loss to a good Tennessee team (#22) on the road, their only defeat all season. So far the Wildcats have played two conference games and they defeated Oregon State by 25 and Washington by 16. This is one of just eight teams in the country to rank in the top 20 nationally in both adjusted offensive and defensive efficiency. Not only do they lead the country in scoring at 89.9 PPG, but they play VERY fast (third in adjusted tempo).
There’s a pretty sizable gap between the top three and everyone else in the Pac 12. Colorado is about to find out that Arizona isn’t just one of the best in the conference, but in the entire country. The Buffaloes prefer to slow the game down, but for the reasons listed above, it’s going to be difficult to play that kind of game here. CU is 0-9 SU in Tucson since joining the Pac 12 a decade ago. While the Buffs may be on a five-game win streak, all those victories came in Boulder. Alarming is how they’ve shot just 22% from three-point range away from home this season. Their only “true” road game came at UCLA and they lost there by 12. This one promises to be even uglier. Lay the points. 10* Arizona