10* Washington (4:05 ET): The Nationals were dealt a 6-3 loss last night and are now just 1-9 vs. the Marlins this season, including 0-4 at home. But now is not the time to abandon ship! Yes, I lost with the Nats last night as a tough stretch for starter Josiah Gray continued. But we’re getting the home team at plus money today and in my opinion they’re worth the investment. Miami remains well below .500 for the year on the road (16-24) and yesterday marked the first time in eight games they topped four runs.

Both starters in this game have made three previous starts. For Miami, Daniel Castano has a 3.18 ERA and a 1.412 WHIP. He’s not factored into any of the decisions, but the team is 2-1 in those three games as they probably should be as two of the starts were quite good. But strikeout numbers are not impressive with only 10 in 17 IP. This will also be just the second time Castano is starting on the road. The Marlins lost the first time. The bullpen, which will be called upon at some point, has a 5.13 road ERA.

The Nats turn to Jackson Tetreault. He has higher ERA than Castano, but the exact same WHIP. The team is also 2-1 in his three starts, but Tetreault has factored into every decision. It was a rough first start (vs. Atlanta), but the last two have seen him go a total of 13 innings and give up just four runs total, three of them unearned. One advantage the Nationals have is that they’ve seen Castano previously. He’s 0-2 against them in this career with a 6.75 ERA. Miami has never faced Tetreault. 10* Washington