(NHL) Boston vs. NY Islanders, 06/09/2021 7:30 PM, Score: 2 - 6
Total: 5.50 | -145.00 Under
Result: Loss
I'm playing on Boston/NY UNDER the total. The big question mark in this one is the health of Rask. I'm confident that whether its Rask or Swayman, the Bruins will clean up their turnovers and defensive breakdowns and do a much better job in their own end. Rask is a proven winner on the road in "win or go home games," while there's a case to be made that the players prefer Swayman. Either way, I believe the Bruins will be good hands between the pipes. Scoring goals, however, is an entirely different matter. Boston only averages 2.6 goals per game on the road and that's an average against all teams. Now, they're up against a stingy NY team which allows 2.1 goals per game at home. Yes, the last game (5-4) was high-scoring. However, keep in mind that the UNDER is 11-5 after Boston allowed four or more goals AND 11-5 after the Isles did so. Additionally, the UNDER is 14-6-1 when the Isles scored four or more in their previous game. While we have to lay some extra juice to get the 5.5, we already saw the last game here land right on five. (The previous game here finished with only three.) Look for the UNDER to improve to 45-25 the last 70 times that Boston played a road game with an O/U line of 5.5.