MIT Simulator - NFL Thursday Bills vs Jets Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Buffalo 26.77, New York Jets 16.02 - Projected Margin of Victory: 10.75 - Current Line: 3 - Variance to Line: 7.75 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 7.75 points. Value in excess of a touchdown! Projected box-score shows Bills rushing edge of 74.48 yards in excess of Jets rushing total and passing edge for Buffalo of 35.42 yards in excess of New York's total through the air. Key factors noted: Turnovers play a key outcome in games and one must be careful in evaluating teams off of a game impacted by turnovers. The key here is that the Bills have been consistent about turnovers all season long! They have forced at least 3 turnovers in 4 straight games and have forced 2 or more in 6 of their 7 games this season. At the same time, Buffalo has turned the ball over a total of only 3 times this entire season. Clearly Buffalo is the king of takeaways this season. While the Jets have also been creating turnovers this season, New York has not gone a single game without at least 1 turnover of their own and, in 5 of their 8 games this season they have had at least two turnovers of their own. The Jets have lost 3 straight games and are 2-6 SU (and 2-5-1 ATS) in November games the past 2 years. Look for turnovers and the run game to key this victory as Buffalo is a top running team on offense and also very strong in terms of rush defense. MIT Simulator composite forecast equating to Buffalo victory by 10.75 points. Play: BILLS