MIT Simulator - CFB Thursday Ball State vs Buffalo Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Bulls 34.19, Cardinals 23.42 - Projected Margin of Victory: 10.77 - Current Line: 20 - Variance to Line: 9.23 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 9.23 points. Value is nearly double digits! Projected box-score shows Buffalo passing edge of 74.87 yards in excess of Ball State passing total. Key factors noted: Ball State has been awful and, along with Kent State and Bowling Green, they are among the bottom feeders of the MAC. However, Buffalo is off of a win over Bowling Green and that victory came by just 10 points and that was a home game for the Bulls. Now they are on the road and they have their big home finale against Ohio U, one of the best teams in the MAC East Division that Buffalo shares with them. As a result, Buffalo may not be fully focused here and the Cardinals may surprise some by stepping up as a big dog at home. The Bulls are only 3-6 ATS and 2-7 SU in November games. The Cardinals improve to 4-2 ATS as home dog in a range of 17.5 to 21 points. Projected box-score shows Bulls rushing edge of 22.27 yards in excess of Cardinals rushing total. Total edge of 97.14 total yards for the big favorite equating to victory by only 10.77 points per MIT Simulator. Play: BALL STATE