MIT Simulator - NCAAF Monday Michigan vs South Carolina Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Wolverines 31.01, Gamecocks 10.98 - Projected Margin of Victory: 20.03 - Current Line: 7.5 - Variance to Line: 12.53 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 12.53 points. Value is a dozen points! Projected box-score shows Michigan passing edge of 79.81 yards in excess of South Carolina passing total. Key factors noted: The Wolverines truly have all the edges here and that make them a bargain with this line sitting right around a TD. They average 59.1 more rushing yards per game on offense than South Carolina does. Also, Michigan's defense allows a total of 106 yards less than the Gamecocks do. The Wolverines also rate an edge on special teams and have faced the slightly tougher schedule in comparison with South Carolina. The Gamecocks finished the season on a 6-1 ATS run but they have had a number of fortunate games this season where they lost the stats badly significantly and yet still hung around in the game. That has helped lead to value in this one. South Carolina went 1-3 ATS in non-conference games this season. Michigan is 28-4 SU their last 32 games as a favorite. That means the likelihood of a SU win here is solid and that holds significance because the line here is 7.5 and 7 of the Wolverines 8 wins have come by 16 points or more this season and 3 of the Gamecocks 4 losses this season came by a double digit margin! Projected box-score shows Wolverines rushing edge of 98.33 yards in excess of Gamecocks rushing total. Combined edge of 178.14 total yards equating to a win by 20.03 points per MIT Simulator. Play: MICHIGAN