MIT Simulator - NFL Saturday Chiefs vs Titans Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Kansas City 23.34, Tennessee 21.48 - Projected Margin of Victory: 1.86 - Current Line: 9 - Variance to Line: 7.14 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 7.14 points. Value is a full TD! Projected box-score shows Chiefs rushing edge of 13.82 yards in excess of Titans rushing total and passing edge for Kansas City of 15.07 yards in excess of Tennessee's total through the air. Key factors noted: Titans like to slow games down and truly ground and pound is the name of the game for Tennessee. That runs clock and makes it hard for teams to defeat them by a big margin. That has led to value with the generous points offered in this one. The Titans have won 7 of their last 11 games. 4 of Tennessee's last 5 losses have come by 6 points or less. Kansas City is only 5-6 in last 11 games. The Chiefs rush defense allows 30 more yards per game than the Titans do. Look for the ground game to keep Tennessee in this game all the way through. Kansas City is 2-7 ATS in home games with an O/U between 42.5 and 45 points. The Chiefs playoff history is a bad one. 3-11 SU and 2-12 ATS run in playoff games for Kansas City. The Chiefs annual playoff failures make a Titans upset a possibility and that makes the points especially attractive in this one. MIT Simulator composite forecast (Total yardage edge of 28.89) equating to Kansas City victory by 1.86 points. Play: TITANS