PREMIUM
NFL Sunday Jaguars vs Bills Winner
(NFL) Buffalo vs. Jacksonville,
01/07/2018 8:05 AM, Score: 3 - 10
Point Spread: 9.00 | -115.00 Buffalo (Away)
Result: Win
Point Spread: 9.00 | -115.00 Buffalo (Away)
Result: Win
MIT Simulator - NFL Sunday Jaguars vs Bills Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Jacksonville 20.67, Buffalo 19.14 - Projected Margin of Victory: 1.53 - Current Line: 9 - Variance to Line: 7.47 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 7.47 points. Value is a full TD! Projected box-score shows Jaguars rushing edge of 1.89 yards in excess of Bills rushing total and passing edge for Jacksonville of 27.62 yards in excess of Buffalo's total through the air. Key factors noted: When a team gets into the playoffs for the first time since 1999 (broke longest post-season drought in the league) some may shrug them off as merely happy to get here. However, the way Buffalo got in (hard-fought road win and then miracle finish with Bengals over Ravens) is the type of situation that can bring out the best in a team. The Bills are now believers and they are a defensive-minded underdog with a knack for forcing turnovers. Buffalo has zero turnovers of their own the last 3 games but they've forced their opponents into five turnovers. Also, in their last 6 games the Bills faced the powerful Patriots twice but, in the other 4 games Buffalo's defense allowed an average of only 292 total yards and just 12 points per game. By comparison, Jacksonville lost back to back games to finish the season and, before allowing only 15 points in their season finale defeat, the Jaguars allowed 24 points or more in 3 of their previous 5 games. The worst thing about that is that none of those 3 teams made the post-season. Jacksonville is certainly improved and a solid team but they're overpriced here as this Bills team has no quit in them. Buffalo is on an 11-6 ATS run in games with an O/U between 35.5 and 42 points. Jags long-term 8-13 ATS as a home favorite of 7.5 to 10 points. The Jaguars lack of proven playoff success (1st playoff appearance in 10 years!) means a Bills upset (though seemingly improbable) is certainly a possibility and that makes the big points especially attractive in this one. MIT Simulator composite forecast (Total yardage edge of 29.51) equating to Jacksonville victory by 1.53 points. Play: BILLS
MIT Simulator Score - Jacksonville 20.67, Buffalo 19.14 - Projected Margin of Victory: 1.53 - Current Line: 9 - Variance to Line: 7.47 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 7.47 points. Value is a full TD! Projected box-score shows Jaguars rushing edge of 1.89 yards in excess of Bills rushing total and passing edge for Jacksonville of 27.62 yards in excess of Buffalo's total through the air. Key factors noted: When a team gets into the playoffs for the first time since 1999 (broke longest post-season drought in the league) some may shrug them off as merely happy to get here. However, the way Buffalo got in (hard-fought road win and then miracle finish with Bengals over Ravens) is the type of situation that can bring out the best in a team. The Bills are now believers and they are a defensive-minded underdog with a knack for forcing turnovers. Buffalo has zero turnovers of their own the last 3 games but they've forced their opponents into five turnovers. Also, in their last 6 games the Bills faced the powerful Patriots twice but, in the other 4 games Buffalo's defense allowed an average of only 292 total yards and just 12 points per game. By comparison, Jacksonville lost back to back games to finish the season and, before allowing only 15 points in their season finale defeat, the Jaguars allowed 24 points or more in 3 of their previous 5 games. The worst thing about that is that none of those 3 teams made the post-season. Jacksonville is certainly improved and a solid team but they're overpriced here as this Bills team has no quit in them. Buffalo is on an 11-6 ATS run in games with an O/U between 35.5 and 42 points. Jags long-term 8-13 ATS as a home favorite of 7.5 to 10 points. The Jaguars lack of proven playoff success (1st playoff appearance in 10 years!) means a Bills upset (though seemingly improbable) is certainly a possibility and that makes the big points especially attractive in this one. MIT Simulator composite forecast (Total yardage edge of 29.51) equating to Jacksonville victory by 1.53 points. Play: BILLS
