MIT Simulator - NBA Saturday Kings vs Nuggets O/U Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Denver 112.49, Sacramento 107.94 - Projected Total Points: 220.43 - Current O/U: 208 - Variance to O/U: 12.43 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 12.43 points. Value is a dozen points. Projected box-score shows Nuggets and Kings combining for 22 three pointers, 61 two pointers, 32 free throws. Key factors noted: Denver is off of a hard-fought effort where they held the Jazz to 91 points in a home win last night. The Nuggets O/U is 6-1 this season when they play the 2nd game of a back to back. Denver's defensive effort likely to be lackluster tonight after that big win versus Utah last night. The Nuggets offense should have no trouble here however as the Kings have allowed 114.6 points per game their last 5 games. Sacramento's offensive production has been on an uptick though with an average of 104.3 points per game in their last 4 games. The Kings have shot 49.4% from the field in those 4 games. When Denver faces a team allowing 106 points or more per game, the Nuggets O/U is 43-16. Sacramento O/U is 37-23 when their prior game was a loss by a double digit margin. With hot shooting a part of the forecast, the Simulator projects good value with this total. Projected box-score made shots (as detailed above) equates to 220 points per MIT Simulator. Play: OVER