NFL Sunday Patriots vs Jaguars Winner
(NFL) Jacksonville vs. New England, 01/21/2018 10:05 AM, Score: 20 - 24
Point Spread: 9.50 | -115.00 Jacksonville (Away)
Result: Win
MIT Simulator - NFL Sunday Patriots vs Jaguars Winner
MIT Simulator Score - New England 23.92, Jacksonville 21.94 - Projected Margin of Victory: 1.98 - Current Line: 9.5 - Variance to Line: 7.52 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 7.52 points. Value is a full touchdown. Projected box-score shows Jaguars rushing edge of 19.62 yards in excess of Patriots rushing total but passing edge for New England of 53.41 yards in excess of Jacksonville's total through the air. Key factors noted: The Jaguars upset win over the Steelers last week makes them 6-3 SU their last 9 games against teams with a winning record. As an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points Jacksonville is 12-4 ATS. The Patriots are 1-4 ATS as a home favorite of 7.5 to 10 points. New England is playing in a 7th consecutive AFC Championship but is only 2-4 ATS in their last 6 appearances. The Jacksonville defense, prior to the big points given up in last week's win at Pittsburgh, has been very strong this season. The Jaguars will use their ball-control offense (strong running team) to keep the clock moving and limit the time that Tom Brady and the potent Patriots offense has the ball. When the Pats do have the ball, they're going up against an aggressive and quick defense that does a great job of forcing turnovers. The 12-6 Jaguars aren't being given a lot of respect here but they went into Pittsburgh twice this season and won both games. Jacksonville is starting to believe and is a confident team heading to Foxboro. MIT Simulator composite forecast (Net yardage edge of 33.79) equating to New England victory by only 1.98 points. Play: JAGUARS