MIT Simulator - NCAAB Friday Wisconsin vs Illinois Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Illini 70.89, Badgers 63.31 - Projected Margin of Victory: 7.58 - Current Line: +4.5 - Variance to Line: 12.08 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 12.08 points. Value is a dozen points! Key factors noted: The Badgers continue to be hurt by a lack of depth at the guard position. Although D'Mitrik Trice is listed as questionable for tonight, the starting guard just returned to practice a couple days ago and would not be 100% if he plays. Trice definitely would also need some live game action time to really get back into the flow. With that said, the Badgers are a short home favorite here with good reason. Wisconsin has lost 3 straight and 10 of their last 17 games. Though Illinois also does not have an impressive record, the Illini have truly been just a play or two away from a much better record in Big Ten action. That is why there is solid value with the points here. Illinois is 3-1 ATS the last 4 times they've been a dog. The Badgers are 3-11 ATS on the season in games against teams with a winning record. The Illini are 5-1 ATS when they enter a game on a losing streak of 3 or more games. Wisconsin has won the last 3 meetings by an average of 10.3 points per game but they are not nearly the team they've been in prior seasons and the revenge-seeking Illini take advantage here. Net edge factors for Illini equating to upset victory by 7.58 points per MIT Simulator. Play: ILLINOIS