MIT Simulator - NCAAB Tuesday Texas Tech vs Oklahoma State Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Red Raiders 70.34, Cowboys 70.07 - Projected Margin of Victory: 0.27 - Current Line: +10.5 - Variance to Line: 10.23 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 10.23 points. Value is double digits! Key factors noted: With Oklahoma State off of their huge upset win over their biggest rival, Oklahoma, many will be backing the Red Raiders here. However, that upset win is already factored into this line and it has Texas Tech very over-priced. Couple that with the fact that the Cowboys are trailing the Red Raiders in the Big 12 standings and you have the perfect value spot for backing OSU. Oklahoma State is not short on motivation with Texas Tech ahead of them in standings. The Red Raiders have shot 38.2% or worse from the field in 3 of their last 4 games. They did win their most recent home game but only by a single point despite shooting 50% in that game and holding their opponent to 39%. That says a lot right there and Texas Tech is forecast to again struggle to get by a tough team in this spot. The Cowboys have covered 3 of the last 4 meetings between these teams including each of the last two in Lubbock. The Red Raiders are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games and enduring their normal January collapse at the betting windows as Texas Tech is now on an 8-15 ATS run in January games. Ever since TT got crushed at Oklahoma two weeks ago they're not the same team as their confidence is shaken. On the other side in this one, OSU has plenty of confidence after knocking off that same OU team. Net edge factors for Red Raiders equating to a game likely decided on the final shot per MIT Simulator. Play: OKLAHOMA STATE