MIT Simulator - NCAAB Wednesday Saint Bonaventure vs Saint Josephs Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Hawks 78.95, Bonnies 75.11 - Projected Margin of Victory: 3.84 - Current Line: +7 - Variance to Line: 10.84 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 10.84 points. Value is double digits! Key factors noted: When something looks "off" with a line it usually is with good reason and the Simulator has uncovered another example of this with this one. On the surface you see a team that is 6-1 at home favored by only 7 points versus a team that is 2-8 on the road. Of course the Simulator goes much deeper than the surface and has shown the value to be with a St Josephs team that won the first match-up between these teams by 7 points. The Hawks defense has stepped up big in their last two games with an average of only 55.5 points allowed per game and allowing just 35% from the field. St Joseph's has won 4 of their last 6 games. Also, none of the Hawks last 5 losses have come by more than 6 points. The average margin of defeat was only 3.5 points! In fact, 7 of St Josephs last 8 losses have come by 6 points or less. St Bonaventure has lost 4 of 5 and failed to cover 4 of its last 5. The Bonnies have allowed 45.5% or more from the field in 5 of their last 6 games. St Bonaventure has been held to 43.3% or less from the field in 5 of their last 7 games. St Josephs is 16-8 ATS when, in Game 15 or later in the season, they face a team with a winning record. The Bonnies are 3-8 ATS (including 0-3 ATS this season) when playing with road loss revenge! Net edge factors for Hawks equating to an upset victory here by 3.84 points per MIT Simulator. Play: ST JOSEPHS