MIT Simulator - NBA Wednesday Thunder vs Wizards Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Washington 109.53, Oklahoma City 104.44 - Projected Margin of Victory: 5.09 - Current Line: +5.5 - Variance to Line: 10.59 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 10.59 points. Value is double digits! Key factors noted: The Wizards are off of a loss and they scored only 75 points in defeat at Dallas. When Washington is held to 85 points or less in a game they have responded by going 5-1 ATS in their next game. As an underdog this season, the Wizards are 12-4 ATS and 10 of those 12 victories have been outright wins. Also, this season when off of a loss by a double digit margin, Washington has gone 5-0 SU and ATS. The Thunder are 7-13 ATS versus teams with a winning record and 4-14 ATS when off of a non-conference game this season - and 28-49 ATS the last 3 seasons. As a favorite this season Oklahoma City is 13-27 ATS. The Simulator predicts the upset here based on the situation so certainly there is value in grabbing the points in this one. Net edge factors for the underdog Wizards equating to upset victory by 5.09 points per MIT Simulator. Play: WASHINGTON