NFL - The Rams are off a huge divisional win versus Seattle last week. However, Los Angeles is unlikely to be flat here. They lost at home to the Buccaneers last season and gave up 55 points to Tampa Bay in the defeat. That means this is a revenge game for the Rams and, per the simulation report, the line move to -4.5 on TB has put this into the value play range for this week's NFL card. This is a Monday night game and Tom Brady struggled badly in his most recent primetime game, a 38-3 loss versus New Orleans. Facing the tough defense of the Rams, particularly their front seven, won't help matters for Brady here. In fact, the last 24 times that the Buccaneers have been a home favorite, they have won the money just 5 times! Per the simulation report, that trend continues here. The last 8 times the Rams have been a road dog they have lost the money just 2 times. The markets are continuing to over-rate Brady and Tampa Bay. Play LOS ANGELES RAMS