Go with home underdogs with a pitcher who strikes out more than five per start and stranding 6.9 or fewer runners per game is 318-251 +119.4 units including +14.1 units this season. Yes you read that correctly we have an angle in which the dog is bet every time yet it is 56 percent winners.

The Sox are 5-1 the last six. Toro is 2-6 the last eight. Jose Quintana has gone seven straight starts without giving up more than three runs including unearned. In fact only once in his last 13 starts has he given up more than three runs.