Yes this is an angle in which we sharps realize it will hit under .500 and still win. Going against quality favorites off a win under specific circumstances is a stunning +200.4 units.

Go against starting pitchers who gave up two or fewer earned runs each of this last two outings facing a pitcher with an ERA of 7.00 or higher last five starts +130.

Koehler has a 3.24 home ERA and a 1.114 WHIP. JA Happ has a 5.63 road ERA and 1.469 WHIP. Yes he has changed teams, but is averaging just more than five innings a start since coming over. He has gone five starts without lasting more than six innings.