PREMIUM
Wise Guy
(NFL) Atlanta vs. New Orleans,
Point Spread: 3.50 | -105.00 New Orleans (Home)
Result: Win
Point Spread: 3.50 | -105.00 New Orleans (Home)
Result: Win
Thursday Night Interdivision Game of the Year
Last week we gave you a rare system that has never lost as far back as our database went and that is back to 1989. Well okay last week it did lose, but of course because of the Andrew Luck injury we told you to buy back and middle. We even told clients who did not bet Houston +1 early in the week that Indy with the overreaction was still the play. So the only loss ever in that system has an asterisk.
Lightening strikes twice as it applies two weeks in a row. Last week we gave you the exact angle because we did not want you to blindly trust us. Because several other handicappers are discovering the greatness of computer software and systems that other sharps and I have exploited for decades, I generally no longer reveal precise parameters.
It has to do with teams off overtime games playing in a very short week though there are other parameters. So it is 13-1 since 1989, yet applies for the second straight week.
We have said time and time again, the most overrated stat in handicapping games is straight up record. Atlanta is a deceptive 5-0. Falcons three of their wins outscored foes in regulation by a combined six (plus an OT TD). Another was come-from-behind to injury ravaged Cowboys team.
When a team is much worse (11 or more points net difference) in margin of cover after at least five games they are 267-197-8 against the spread. That favors the Saints.
Last week we gave you a rare system that has never lost as far back as our database went and that is back to 1989. Well okay last week it did lose, but of course because of the Andrew Luck injury we told you to buy back and middle. We even told clients who did not bet Houston +1 early in the week that Indy with the overreaction was still the play. So the only loss ever in that system has an asterisk.
Lightening strikes twice as it applies two weeks in a row. Last week we gave you the exact angle because we did not want you to blindly trust us. Because several other handicappers are discovering the greatness of computer software and systems that other sharps and I have exploited for decades, I generally no longer reveal precise parameters.
It has to do with teams off overtime games playing in a very short week though there are other parameters. So it is 13-1 since 1989, yet applies for the second straight week.
We have said time and time again, the most overrated stat in handicapping games is straight up record. Atlanta is a deceptive 5-0. Falcons three of their wins outscored foes in regulation by a combined six (plus an OT TD). Another was come-from-behind to injury ravaged Cowboys team.
When a team is much worse (11 or more points net difference) in margin of cover after at least five games they are 267-197-8 against the spread. That favors the Saints.
