This game personifies our successful predictably unpredictable theory. Essentially, in part, it says mega-talented underachieves such as Matt Stafford and Jay Cutler are going to be consistently inconsistent. When they are playing well, bet against them. When they are playing poorly bet with them.

On one hand, it works best when the team we are betting on is an underdog, but such an erratic QB makes getting points a good play. However with home field advantage being three-points, the oddsmakers are telling you the teams are even despite Chicago with a better record.

Cutler off two wins, Stafford off five losses, yes the proven angle says bet on, yes on the colder team. Winless teams with at least four losses 147-104-7 against the spread. The percentage is even higher with five 97-67-6 59.1 percent.

Bears two wins were by a combined three points. One was at home to improving, but young Raiders team playing on the road and big comeback to KC after Jamal Charles left. Now in all fairness, all three losses were to good teams, but Jay Cutler has never been one to enjoy prosperity for long. And Matt Stafford will always have a starting job (though likely wear out his welcome and start in another uniform) because he is truly a when you least expect it, expect it guy.