Point Spread: 3.50 | -115.00 Georgia State (Away)
Outright win? It's VERY possible, as note that Georgia State upset Arkansas State 52-38 as a 6.5-points underdog last year. Georgia State lost 34-31 to the Ragin Cajuns in Week 1, but on October 3rd they smashed East Carolina 49-29 as an underdog, outgaining the Pirates 485 to 286 in the process. So far the Panthers average 40 PPG and they allow 31.5. Arkansas State destroyed FCS opponent Central Arkansas 50-27 in its last game, but previous to that it dropped its lone conference game. Arkansas State is 0-3 in its last three vs. FBS opponents and its offensive attack revolves around the pass, and that doesn't matchup well vs. this Georiga State secondary which already has give interceptions in two games. I'm grabbing the points and expecting a battle until the end!
T.M. Prediction: 38-35 Georgia State.